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Writer's pictureHelena Jevons

The Ten New Forces:






Reimagining Porter's Forces:

In 1979, Harvard Business School professor Michael Porter introduced his Five Forces model, a framework for analyzing competition within an industry. While this model has stood the test of time, the business world has undergone significant changes since its inception. Technological advancements, globalization, and shifts in consumer behavior have reshaped the competitive landscape, necessitating a fresh look at the forces that drive industry competition.

In this blog post, we'll introduce ten new forces that build upon Porter's original model, providing a more comprehensive framework for understanding competition in the modern business world. These forces reflect the complexities and nuances of today's markets, offering business leaders and strategists a more robust tool for competitive analysis.

1. Digital Disruption Potential

In the digital age, the threat of disruption looms large over every industry. This force measures the likelihood and potential impact of digital technologies to fundamentally alter an industry's business models, value chains, or customer experiences.

Key Considerations:

  • Emerging technologies relevant to the industry

  • Digital literacy of incumbent firms

  • Barriers to digital transformation

  • Historical examples of digital disruption in similar industries

Example: The rise of fintech companies has disrupted traditional banking, with digital-only banks like Revolut and N26 challenging established institutions. According to a PwC report, 88% of incumbent banks fear losing revenue to innovators in fintech [1].

2. Data Dominance

In an era where data is often called "the new oil," the ability to collect, analyze, and leverage data has become a crucial competitive advantage. This force assesses the importance of data in an industry and the concentration of data ownership among players.

Key Considerations:

  • Volume and quality of data available to different players

  • Data analytics capabilities

  • Regulatory environment surrounding data privacy and usage

  • Network effects related to data accumulation

Example: Tech giants like Google and Facebook have built their business models around data dominance. Their vast data repositories give them significant advantages in targeted advertising and product development. In 2020, these two companies alone accounted for more than 50% of global digital ad spending [2].

3. Platform Ecosystem Strength

Platform business models have become increasingly prevalent, creating powerful ecosystems that can lock in customers and partners. This force evaluates the strength and influence of platform ecosystems within an industry.

Key Considerations:

  • Presence of dominant platforms

  • Switching costs for users and partners

  • Network effects

  • Platform openness and interoperability

Example: Apple's iOS and Google's Android dominate the mobile operating system market, creating powerful ecosystems that influence app developers, device manufacturers, and consumers. As of 2021, these two platforms accounted for 99% of the global smartphone OS market share [3].

4. Sustainability Pressures

With growing concerns about climate change and social responsibility, sustainability has become a significant competitive factor. This force assesses the pressure on companies to adopt sustainable practices and the potential for sustainability to drive competitive advantage.

Key Considerations:

  • Regulatory environment regarding sustainability

  • Consumer preferences for sustainable products/services

  • Potential for cost savings through sustainable practices

  • Reputational risks related to sustainability issues

Example: The fashion industry has faced increasing pressure to address its environmental impact. Companies like Patagonia have turned sustainability into a competitive advantage, with their commitment to environmental responsibility driving customer loyalty and brand value. A 2020 McKinsey survey found that 67% of consumers consider the use of sustainable materials an important purchasing factor [4].

5. Talent Attraction and Retention

In knowledge-based economies, the ability to attract and retain top talent can be a crucial differentiator. This force evaluates the intensity of competition for talent within an industry and its impact on competitiveness.

Key Considerations:

  • Skill gaps in the industry

  • Employer brand strength of different players

  • Compensation and benefits landscape

  • Work culture and employee satisfaction levels

Example: The tech industry is known for its fierce competition for talent. Companies like Google and Amazon are constantly vying for top engineers and data scientists, offering high salaries, extensive benefits, and innovative work environments. According to a 2021 TalentLMS survey, 72% of US tech employees were thinking of quitting their job in the next 12 months, highlighting the challenges of talent retention [5].

6. Innovation Velocity

The pace of innovation can vary significantly across industries and can be a key determinant of competitive advantage. This force measures the speed and impact of innovation within an industry.

Key Considerations:

  • R&D investment levels

  • Patent activity

  • Time-to-market for new products/services

  • Cultural and organizational factors affecting innovation

Example: The pharmaceutical industry is characterized by high innovation velocity, with companies investing heavily in R&D to develop new drugs. In 2020, the global pharmaceutical R&D spending reached $200 billion, with top companies investing up to 25% of their revenue in R&D [6].

7. Regulatory Adaptability

In many industries, the ability to navigate and adapt to changing regulations can be a significant competitive factor. This force assesses the impact of regulatory changes on competition and the adaptability of different players to these changes.

Key Considerations:

  • Frequency and impact of regulatory changes

  • Compliance costs

  • Lobbying power of different players

  • Ability to influence regulatory outcomes

Example: The financial services industry is heavily regulated, with companies needing to adapt quickly to new rules and requirements. The introduction of GDPR in Europe, for instance, required significant adaptations from companies handling personal data. According to a survey by Deloitte, 92% of financial services firms believed that regulatory compliance would become more complex over the next five years [7].

8. Customer Experience Differentiation

In markets where products or services are becoming increasingly commoditized, the ability to differentiate through superior customer experience can be a key competitive advantage. This force evaluates the importance and difficulty of creating distinctive customer experiences within an industry.

Key Considerations:

  • Customer expectations for experience

  • Technological capabilities for experience delivery

  • Personalization potential

  • Consistency of experience across touchpoints

Example: In the retail banking sector, customer experience has become a key differentiator. Banks like USAA have set themselves apart through superior digital experiences and customer service. A study by Qualtrics found that customers who rate a company's customer experience as "good" are 38% more likely to recommend that company [8].

9. Ecosystem Orchestration

The ability to create and manage business ecosystems can be a powerful competitive advantage in many industries. This force assesses the importance and effectiveness of ecosystem strategies within an industry.

Key Considerations:

  • Presence of ecosystem orchestrators

  • Complementarity of ecosystem partners

  • Value creation and capture within ecosystems

  • Ecosystem governance and conflict resolution

Example: Microsoft has successfully orchestrated a vast ecosystem around its products, particularly in the enterprise space. Its partner network includes over 64,000 cloud partners alone, creating a powerful ecosystem that enhances the value of Microsoft's offerings. According to IDC, for every dollar of Microsoft revenue in 2020, its partner ecosystem generated $9.58 [9].

10. Social Capital and Trust

In an era of misinformation and eroding trust in institutions, a company's social capital and trustworthiness can be significant competitive factors. This force evaluates the importance of trust and social capital within an industry and the variations among different players.

Key Considerations:

  • Brand trust levels

  • Transparency and accountability practices

  • Social media sentiment and reputation management

  • Corporate social responsibility initiatives

Example: In the food industry, companies like Whole Foods have built their brand around trust and transparency, particularly regarding sourcing and ingredients. According to the 2021 Edelman Trust Barometer, 68% of consumers believe they have the power to force corporations to change, highlighting the importance of maintaining social capital [10].

Conclusion: Applying the New Forces

These ten new forces provide a more nuanced and comprehensive framework for analyzing competition in today's complex business environment. While Porter's original five forces remain relevant, these additional factors capture the unique challenges and opportunities presented by the digital age, sustainability concerns, and evolving consumer expectations.

To apply this expanded framework:

  1. Assess Relevance: Not all forces will be equally important in every industry. Start by identifying which forces are most relevant to your specific context.

  2. Gather Data: Collect quantitative and qualitative data related to each relevant force. This may involve market research, competitor analysis, and internal data gathering.

  3. Rate and Weigh: Rate the strength of each force in your industry and weigh their relative importance. This will help prioritize strategic responses.

  4. Identify Opportunities and Threats: Use your analysis to identify potential opportunities for competitive advantage and threats to your current position.

  5. Develop Strategies: Based on your analysis, develop strategies to either exploit opportunities or mitigate threats posed by these forces.

  6. Monitor and Adapt: Regularly reassess these forces, as their strength and relevance may change over time due to technological advancements, regulatory changes, or shifts in consumer behavior.

By considering these ten modern forces alongside Porter's original five, business leaders can gain a more comprehensive understanding of their competitive landscape. This holistic view enables more informed strategic decision-making, helping companies navigate the complexities of the modern business world and build sustainable competitive advantages.

Remember, the key to successful strategy is not just understanding these forces, but also creatively responding to them. By leveraging your company's unique strengths and capabilities in response to these competitive factors, you can position your business for long-term success in an ever-evolving marketplace.

References

[1] PwC. (2021). Global FinTech Report 2021.

[2] eMarketer. (2021). Global Digital Ad Spending 2021.

[3] Statista. (2021). Mobile Operating Systems' Market Share Worldwide.

[4] McKinsey & Company. (2020). The State of Fashion 2020.

[5] TalentLMS. (2021). The Great Discontent: 2021 Worker Survey.

[6] EvaluatePharma. (2021). World Preview 2021, Outlook to 2026.

[7] Deloitte. (2021). Financial Services Regulatory Outlook 2021.

[8] Qualtrics XM Institute. (2020). ROI of Customer Experience.

[9] IDC. (2020). Microsoft Economic Impact Report.

[10] Edelman. (2021). Edelman Trust Barometer 2021.

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